Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 717.221298 807.284858 907.374635 1027.417922 1168.220004 1329.035565 1527.895751
2025-04-20 595.690607 718.793122 868.408586 1066.081047 1324.092543 1654.727968 2119.314866
2025-04-27 521.617082 657.337239 831.923287 1077.695297 1422.641937 1902.103558 2642.513141
2025-05-04 468.429804 610.686142 802.083118 1085.721838 1508.561515 2138.605308 3196.520412
2025-05-11 426.720877 572.141357 775.268364 1089.742896 1583.801092 2367.075942 3787.773676
2025-05-18 402.108315 553.424328 772.365836 1125.796517 1710.212552 2695.980936 4631.950635
2025-05-25 379.680166 534.717593 766.164096 1154.128072 1826.514046 3028.680367 5578.807229
2025-06-01 356.683812 512.398101 751.251240 1165.146476 1913.330250 3324.272442 6542.871570
2025-06-08 334.812541 489.469634 732.485411 1166.348478 1981.358548 3596.511133 7546.300377
2025-06-15 320.112277 476.279817 727.717532 1190.530712 2095.322446 3985.110727 8970.149692
2025-06-22 295.986299 445.816977 691.205196 1152.755880 2081.294863 4096.504258 9722.757049
2025-06-29 274.066739 417.298954 655.460532 1112.167634 2055.056459 4174.614611 10415.094716
2025-07-06 253.394878 389.843955 620.050819 1069.843141 2022.239289 4238.974013 11125.596366
2025-07-13 246.724118 385.591835 625.126010 1106.801168 2167.638583 4776.549018 13621.126607
2025-07-20 237.089857 375.417405 618.487286 1119.319432 2260.231694 5204.575773 16005.886675
2025-07-27 227.732091 364.995797 610.393028 1127.708693 2344.602278 5634.885554 18693.523436
2025-08-03 218.627685 354.351281 600.913007 1131.929897 2419.630066 6061.431879 21690.973159
2025-08-10 214.225037 351.849796 606.672399 1169.761594 2586.658008 6823.258466 26922.549312
2025-08-17 209.120171 347.660578 608.712974 1199.501464 2738.759177 7594.219271 33055.147295
2025-08-24 202.400096 339.982129 603.139416 1211.070103 2843.842556 8245.312191 39310.331702
2025-08-31 195.107813 330.745462 593.660819 1212.332216 2920.307915 8823.852680 45903.197615
2025-09-07 190.603436 326.554122 594.189540 1237.727312 3073.278041 9762.796636 56685.921200
2025-09-14 180.442020 310.790030 569.399125 1198.060846 3021.268716 9850.486237 60667.709090